Wisconsin election results analysis; Trump, Baldwin split swing state

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Wisconsin election results analysis

More than 3.3 million Wisconsin voters cast ballots in the presidential election. Donald Trump won the race. Tammy Baldwin won the U.S. Senate race.

More than 3.3 million Wisconsin voters cast ballots in Tuesday's presidential election.

The Associated Press and FOX News called Wisconsin for former President Donald Trump, the state's 10 electoral votes part his defeat nationally of Vice President Kamala Harris. Here's a look at the numbers.

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Presidential race

Wisconsin shattered its election turnout record. There were 3.4 million ballots cast and 3.65 million registered voters prior to Election Day. 

Harris pulled 37,000 more votes than Joe Biden did in 2020. She also surpassed the number of votes Barack Obama received in 2012, though not what Obama saw in 2008. It wasn't enough for the Democratic ticket this time around.

Live Wisconsin election results; interactive maps, county-by-county

The 2024 Presidential Election is behind us and the swing state of Wisconsin helped determine who won the presidency and the balance of power for both the Senate and House in Washington.

That's because Trump won over so many more voters – in fact, the 1.69 million votes he received set a record for total votes won in the state by any presidential nominee. The Republican received 87,000 more votes in Tuesday's election than he did in 2020.

Trump also overperformed in some crucial counties compared to 2020. He won 52% of Racine County, a one-point improvement over 2020. He also grew his lead in Kenosha County – which he first flipped red in 2016 – nearly two points in that time. In Waukesha County, though, he was down roughly 4/10 of a point but made up the difference across the state.

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"It actually has gotten pretty close in the end. I mean, we're talking about less than a point," said Craig Gilbert with Marquette University Law School. "This looks like it's going to be the fifth time in seven presidential elections that Wisconsine has been decided by less than a percentage point, which no other state is even remotely like that.

"Not to take anything away from his victory because it was a broad base in another sense, which is he improved his performance over 2020 almost everywhere in the state."

Line to vote at Milwaukee polling location

U.S. Senate race

Split-ticket votes also made a difference in the battleground state, and 19,000 people voted in the presidential race but sat out the U.S. Senate race.

Democrat Tammy Baldwin won over Republican challenger Eric Hovde. She outperformed what Harris got in Milwaukee County; Harris won 68.4% of those votes, while Baldwin won 69.1%.

State legislature races

In a closely contested State Senate race, Democrat Jodi Habush Sinykin defeated Republican Duey Stroebel in the 8th District on Wednesday. Stroebel was the incumbent in the race, but ran in a new district – the first election with new legislative maps in use statewide.

Overall, Republicans retained majorities in both the Wisconsin Senate and Wisconsin Assembly.

Republicans have controlled the Assembly since 2011 and currently have 64 seats to Democrats' 34. That majority will shrink in January after the GOP lost 10 seats following Tuesday's elections, but will keep a nine-seat majority.

In the Wisconsin Senate, Republicans currently have a 22-10 supermajority – but that lead, too, will shrink. Republicans will keep 18 seats while Democrats picked up several and will have 15. It means the GOP will no longer have a supermajority in the chamber.